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Positive Developments in Eskom Load-Shedding but Challenges Remain

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Positive Developments in Eskom Load-Shedding but Challenges Remain

Civil engineer Hügo Krüger has provided insights into the Eskom load-shedding situation in South Africa, suggesting that the country will likely experience Eskom load-shedding between stages 1 and 2 for at least the next two years. Krüger points out that the intensity of power cuts may improve due to the impending return of Kusile’s generating units.

Positive Developments in Eskom Load-Shedding but Challenges Remain

Critical Role of Kusile Units

Krüger emphasizes that the return of Kusile’s offline generating units is crucial to ending load-shedding in South Africa. He mentions that Koeberg and Kusile are the two key factors in resolving the load-shedding issue.

Minister’s Announcement

Krüger mentions Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa’s statement about ramping up Kusile’s third-generation unit to 800MW of capacity, which is seen as a positive development.

Optimism and Skepticism

While Krüger is optimistic about the situation, he believes that South Africa may still experience stage 1 and 2 load-shedding next year, given the variability in the power system. He expresses some skepticism about achieving full capacity and anticipates continued challenges.

Eskom’s Load-Shedding Forecast

Eskom recently forecasted regular stage 4 load-shedding between September 2023 and March 2024. The power utility presented different scenarios, with varying levels of load loss and corresponding days of load-shedding. Eskom anticipates between 11 and 19 days of load-shedding per month until March 2024.

  • Best-case scenario: Load loss of 14,500MW, with 116 days of load-shedding (mostly stage 4).
  • Medium-risk scenario: Load loss of 16,000MW, with 187 days of load-shedding.
  • Worst-case scenario: Load loss of 17,500MW, with 211 days of load-shedding (including stage 6 and 7).

These scenarios reflect the challenges Eskom faces in ensuring a stable power supply in the coming months.

Summary

Krüger’s analysis suggests that South Africa’s struggle with load-shedding will persist, with the hope that improvements in generating capacity, especially at Kusile, will gradually alleviate the situation. Eskom’s forecasts highlight the continued need for vigilance in managing the power supply.

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Eskom Media Today

Eskom Loadshedding will continue until 5:00 on Tuesday, as previously announced

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Eskom Loadshedding will continue until 5:00 on Tuesday, as previously announced

Until 05:00 on Tuesday, stage 4 loadshedding will continue. Until further notice, Stage 2 and 4 loadshedding will take place.

Eskom Loadshedding will continue until 5:00 on Tuesday, as previously announced

Monday, 10 July 2023: Stage 4 loadshedding is being implemented until 5:00 a.m. on Tuesday due to increased demand. On Wednesday, Stage 4 loadshedding will be implemented from 14:00 until 05:00, followed by Stage 2 loadshedding from 05:00 to 14:00.

Eskom Loadshedding Today

There will be a daily implementation of this pattern until further notice. A new update will be published if any significant changes are made.

As of now, 14 252MW of generating capacity has been damaged by breakdowns, while 4 118MW of generating capacity has been out of service for planned maintenance.

As of today, Duvha, Hendrina, Kendal, Kriel, Matimba and Medupi power stations have each reactivated a generating unit.

The Arnot and Tutuka power stations each had a generation unit out of service due to a breakdown during the same period.

Tutuka Power Station’s current capacity constraints are due to the delay in resuming two generating units. In order to restore service to the generating units, Eskom teams are working around the clock.

Members of the public are being encouraged to use electricity sparingly and efficiently, and we want to thank the people who do heed the call. During the period between 17:00 and 21:00, please turn off your geysers and pool pumps as this reduces demand, alleviates pressure on the power system, and contributes to fewer stages of load-shedding.

For Further Notice Visit Official Site 

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